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Two clocks · United States · data to 2 October 2026

Two years to build an AI data centre, five for a power plant

AI data centres that came online in 2025 took a median 24 months from first land clearing to first operating building. For US power plants that came online then, the median is 31 months from the grid connection agreement and 61 months from the connection request. The two clocks do not start at the same point.

24

months: the median AI data centre, from first land clearing to first operating building (20 sites that came online in 2025)

31

months: the median power plant, from signed interconnection agreement to operation (US, plants online in 2025)

61

months: the median power plant, from interconnection request to operation (in 2008: 22)

The two clocks do not start at the same point. The data centre's starts at the first bulldozer. The power plant's starts at a request filed years earlier.

Four clocks on one scale, in monthsFive rows. The first: 53 sites AI data centres, one dot each, from land clearing to first operating building; the 2025 median is 24.0 months. Then three bars for US power plants: 31 months from agreement to operation, 45 from request to agreement, 61 from request to operation. The last row, before land clearing, is empty: nothing has been measured. 01224364860 ? AI data centresland clearing → first operating building 2025 median: 24.0 Plant: agreement → operation31 Plant: request → agreement45 Plant: request → operation61 before the bulldozer: not measured months from each clock's starting point came online in 2025other yearfilled: date anchored in an announcement or documenthollow: date estimated by Epoch from images

Each dot is a data centre: choose one to see its dates.

An AI data centre takes about two years to build

Epoch AI follows 93 large AI data centres from satellite images, permits and announcements. For each it records when land clearing began and when the first building started drawing power for servers.

Of the 53 sites built from scratch and already running, the median is 26 months. For the 20 that began operating in 2025 it is 24 months, and the middle half of the sites falls between 19 and 31 months; the fastest of them, Colossus 2, took 7.7 months, the slowest, AWS Berwick, 50 months.

Colossus 2 was built next to an existing building; Epoch notes a battery facility at the building and gas turbines at a Duke facility nearby in Mississippi. The slowest of all 53, Microsoft SAT40, took 65 months (started in 2018).

From the interconnection agreement, a power plant needs a median of 31 months

Berkeley Lab, a US Department of Energy national laboratory, tracks the interconnection queues of American power plants. The median from signed interconnection agreement to operation was 31 months for plants that came online in 2025, in a sample covering 1,492 projects across all years, 142 of them from 2025.

The report attributes the length of this stage largely to things outside the interconnection process: procurement and the contract to sell the power, permitting, and the completion of transmission lines.

Before the agreement, a request waits a median of 45 months

For agreements signed in 2025, the median from filing the request to signing the agreement was 45 months. The sample covers 4,929 requests across all years, 519 with an agreement in 2025. The report notes that agreement dates for 2023–2025 are missing for several regions and that the sample comes largely from ERCOT, where durations are typically shorter. From request to operation the median is 61 months for plants that came online in 2025 (3,310 projects across all years, 296 from 2025), against 36 in 2015 and 22 in 2008: 2.8 times as long as in 2008.

The three medians come from different samples and do not form a single timeline. Of the requests filed in 2000–2020, only 19% (13% of capacity) were operating by the end of 2025.

The missing clock: the one before the bulldozer

The Berkeley Lab report covers only the connection of power plants to the transmission grid, not distribution and not consumers. Epoch starts measuring at land clearing. For the period between the decision to build a data centre, its request for power and the first bulldozer, no comparable public measurement exists.

That does not mean a data centre waits five years for the grid. It means the part of its clock that comes before the bulldozer does not show in these data.

A data centre and a power plant requested on the same day

Choose a data centre. The page calculates when a power plant would have started up if its interconnection request had been filed on the day of the first land clearing and it had taken the 2025 median: 61 months.

Land clearing 31 May 2024. First building operating: 26 Sep 2025 (15.9 months; date anchored in an announcement or document).

A plant requested the same day would have started up, at the median of 61 months, in June 2029: 45 months after the data centre.

A calculation by this page, not a claim about any one centre: a data centre can use plants requested earlier, or its own generation. Epoch notes gas turbines installed near the Colossus 2 and Meta Prometheus sites.

Power plants take longer and longer from request to operation

From request to operation the median rose from 22 months in 2008 to 36 in 2015 and 61 in 2025, with a slight decline from 2024 according to the report. Only 19% of the requests filed in 2000–2020 were operating by the end of 2025.

The bigger the plant, the longer it takes: for plants that began operating from 2010 onwards, the median from request to operation is 20 months under 5 MW and exceeds four years from 100 MW upwards. The first operating building of an AI data centre has a median of 78 MW of IT power, between 5 and 398.

Request to operation, median, in months
Request to operation, median, in monthsThree bars: 22 months in 2008, 36 in 2015, 61 in 2025.200822201536202561
Requests from 2000–2020 operating by the end of 2025, in per cent
Requests from 2000–2020 operating by the end of 2025, in per centTwo bars: 19% of projects and 13% of capacity.projects19%capacity13%

All 67 sites already operating

Every data centre in Epoch's database whose first operating building has a date up to 2 October 2026, except the four that already appear as operating in their first record. The 53 marked “yes” count towards the medians; 14 are conversions, expansions or have a first record that is not the start of ground work, and are only listed. Power is the IT power of the first operating building, in MW.

Data centreCountryLand clearingFirst building operatingMonthsMWHow the operating date is knownCounts in median
Microsoft Project OsmiumUnited States18 Dec 20181 Jan 202124.548estimated from imagesyes
Google PapillionUnited States4 Mar 202023 Jan 202334.779estimated from imagesyes
Microsoft GoodyearUnited States21 Jun 202124 Apr 202322.140estimated from imagesyes
Meta-QTS Hillsboro 2United States1 Apr 20212 Aug 202328.045estimated from imagesyes
Google LancasterUnited States1 Oct 20211 Jan 202427.068estimated from imagesyes
QTS Richmond 1United States1 Oct 202329 Jan 20243.947estimated from imagesno: retrofit
CoreWeave Chester VAUnited States18 Sep 202331 Jan 20244.418estimated from imagesno: conversion
Google ColumbusUnited States1 Oct 20211 Apr 202430.065estimated from imagesyes
Google OmahaUnited States25 Nov 20218 Apr 202428.479estimated from imagesyes
Google BristowUnited States1 Jul 202129 Apr 202433.987estimated from imagesyes
Microsoft SAT40United States28 Dec 201824 May 202464.947estimated from imagesyes
Microsoft SAT14United States18 Feb 20221 Jul 202428.419estimated from imagesno: first record is not the start of ground work
Colossus 1United States24 Apr 202411 Aug 20243.635estimated from imagesno: conversion
STACK Infrastructure NVA02United States19 Oct 20191 Oct 202459.485estimated from imagesyes
Google Council Bluffs (East)United States6 Sep 202219 Nov 202426.479estimated from imagesyes
AWS New AlbanyUnited States1 Jul 20221 Dec 202429.0113estimated from imagesyes
DayOne NusajayaMalaysia1 Oct 202331 Dec 202415.050estimated from imagesno: first record is not the start of ground work
Huawei WuhuChina1 Jan 20231 Jan 202524.045estimated from imagesyes
QTS Richmond 2United States1 Apr 20224 Feb 202534.272estimated from imagesyes
xAI QTS AtlantaUnited States23 Jan 202420 Feb 202512.917estimated from imagesno: first record is not the start of ground work
Google The DallesUnited States21 May 20237 Mar 202521.677estimated from imagesyes
Oracle BatamIndonesia1 Jul 202215 May 202534.533anchored in an announcementyes
CoreWeave Denton TXUnited States1 Nov 202431 May 20256.98estimated from imagesno: conversion
Huawei HoringerChina8 Oct 20231 Jun 202519.836estimated from imagesyes
Amazon Madison Mega SiteUnited States2 Oct 202323 Jun 202520.7284estimated from imagesyes
Anthropic-Amazon New CarlisleUnited States9 Feb 202423 Jun 202516.4398estimated from imagesyes
Google MesaUnited States1 Jul 20231 Jul 202524.090estimated from imagesyes
VNET Bayin UlanqabChina15 Mar 20241 Jul 202515.538estimated from imagesyes
CoreWeave NorwayNorway23 Jan 202427 Jul 202518.142estimated from imagesno: first record is not the start of ground work
Google Red OakUnited States30 Apr 202325 Aug 202527.977estimated from imagesyes
Google Waltham CrossUnited Kingdom1 Jan 20241 Sep 202520.088anchored in an announcementyes
AWS BerwickUnited States1 Jul 20219 Sep 202550.347estimated from imagesyes
Alibaba ZhangbeiChina23 Jul 202417 Sep 202513.885estimated from imagesno: first record is not the start of ground work
OpenAI Stargate AbileneUnited States31 May 202426 Sep 202515.9105anchored in an announcementyes
Core42 Lake MarinerUnited States1 Oct 20241 Oct 202512.016anchored in an announcementyes
Meta PrometheusUnited States14 Apr 202214 Oct 202542.076estimated from imagesyes
Microsoft Fairwater AtlantaUnited States9 Apr 202314 Oct 202530.2321anchored in an announcementyes
Colossus 2United States28 Feb 202519 Oct 20257.7239anchored in an announcementyes
CoreWeave Ellendale NDUnited States31 Oct 202327 Oct 202523.950anchored in an announcementyes
Meta Eagle MountainUnited States1 Oct 20237 Dec 202526.2133estimated from imagesyes
Meta TempleUnited States1 Apr 20229 Dec 202544.3152estimated from imagesyes
DayOne KempasMalaysia1 Jul 202422 Jan 202618.780anchored in an announcementyes
QTS Richmond 3United States1 Apr 202413 Feb 202622.448estimated from imagesyes
Vantage TX1United States15 Dec 202315 Feb 202626.132estimated from imagesyes
CoreWeave Dalton 1 & 2United States3 Jun 202420 Feb 202620.628estimated from imagesno: conversion
Meta Los LunasUnited States24 Jul 20241 Mar 202619.287estimated from imagesyes
Meta HuntsvilleUnited States13 Dec 20214 Mar 202650.778estimated from imagesyes
CoreWeave Marble NCUnited States25 Jun 202413 Mar 202620.636estimated from imagesno: conversion
Start Campus Sines Data CampusPortugal1 Jan 20223 Apr 202651.033anchored in an announcementyes
Microsoft-Nebius New JerseyUnited States31 May 202415 Apr 202622.550estimated from imagesyes
Microsoft Fairwater WisconsinUnited States14 Jul 202316 Apr 202633.1369anchored in an announcementyes
Google MidlothianUnited States28 Nov 202319 Apr 202628.769estimated from imagesyes
Nscale KeflavikIceland8 Jul 202223 Apr 202645.55estimated from imagesyes
Stream PhoenixUnited States30 Oct 20221 May 202642.064estimated from imagesno: conversion
Google LincolnUnited States1 Jul 202312 May 202634.4141estimated from imagesyes
Amazon RidgelandUnited States24 Feb 202415 May 202626.6228estimated from imagesyes
Anthropic Lake MarinerUnited States11 Jun 202531 May 202611.642estimated from imagesyes
Meta KunaUnited States3 Oct 20221 Jun 202643.9152estimated from imagesyes
Meta JeffersonvilleUnited States1 Feb 20244 Jun 202628.1178estimated from imagesyes
Google ArcolaUnited States1 Oct 202416 Jun 202620.577estimated from imagesyes
Meta MontgomeryUnited States1 Mar 202518 Jun 202615.6153estimated from imagesyes
Meta RosemountUnited States30 May 202419 Jun 202624.6178estimated from imagesyes
Meta CheyenneUnited States15 May 202425 Jul 202626.3152estimated from imagesyes
Meta SarpyUnited States1 Aug 20242 Aug 202624.080estimated from imagesyes
Meta AikenUnited States30 May 20247 Aug 202626.369estimated from imagesyes
Southgate MelbourneAustralia26 Dec 20229 Aug 202643.441estimated from imagesno: first record is not the start of ground work
Coreweave HeliosUnited States31 May 202530 Aug 202615.0132estimated from imagesno: expansion of an existing site

Download the table (JSON)

How the two clocks were calculated

The data-centre clock

For each site in Epoch's database: months from the first record (land clearing, grading, the start of ground work) to the first record with IT power above zero. Dates after 2 October 2026 are Epoch forecasts and are left out. Epoch says its dates are estimates from satellite images, permits and announcements; many first-power dates are inferred (for example "five months after the roof").

What counts in the median

53 sites built from scratch. 14 are left out: conversions of existing buildings, and sites whose first record is not the start of ground work. Another 20 sites have only a future date, and 4 already appear as operating in their first record.

The 2025 cohort

Berkeley Lab groups plants by the year they began operating. We do the same: the centres whose first building began operating in 2025 (20 sites). A site started recently and still under construction cannot be counted, and looking at all recent starts would leave out the slow ones.

Anchored and estimated dates

We read Epoch's notes for every site. For 7 of the 20 in 2025, the first-power date rests on a company announcement, a public document or an authority (for example Microsoft, Oracle, Crusoe, TeraWulf, Google, Applied Digital); Epoch picks the date closest to the announcement that its images support, so for Abilene and Colossus 2 the date is "around" the announcement, not the announced one, and for Ellendale the milestone is "ready for service". For the other 13, Epoch infers it from images. The classification is ours.

The power-plant clock

The numbers are those printed in the Berkeley Lab report (2026 edition, data to the end of 2025): medians by the year a plant began operating (request to operation, agreement to operation) or the year the agreement was signed (request to agreement). The report covers only the connection of generators to the transmission grid, not distribution and not consumers. It collects queues from 7 regional market operators and 50 other balancing areas; the duration samples are smaller (3,310 projects request to operation, 1,492 agreement to operation, 4,929 requests request to agreement). The 2024–2025 request-to-agreement sample comes largely from ERCOT, where durations are typically shorter, and agreement dates for 2023–2025 are missing for several regions, the report notes.

What is not compared

A data centre and a power plant are different objects, and their clocks start at different points: the bulldozer, and the interconnection request. The comparison sets side by side periods of the same kind, from a physical or contractual start to operation, and does not say how a data centre gets its power.

Year of first operationSitesMedian, monthsAnchored in an announcement (sites)Estimated from images (sites)
2021124.5–24.5 (1)
2023328.0–28.0 (3)
2024829.5–29.5 (8)
20252024.020.0 (7)24.0 (13)
2026, to 2 Oct2126.333.1 (3)26.2 (18)

The 2025 cohort median is 24.0 months across all 20, 20.0 for the 7 with a date anchored in an announcement and 24.0 for the 13 with a date estimated from images. The cohorts before 2025 are small (2021: 1, 2023: 3, 2024: 8), and 2026 is a year in progress.

Sources

Epoch AI's data is licensed CC BY; the derived table, with our classification of the sites, can be downloaded. The Berkeley Lab report is published by the laboratory.

  • Epoch AI

    Data on AI data centers (Frontier Data Centers hub)

    Epoch AI's open database (CC BY) of the largest AI data centres: for each, dates from land clearing to operating buildings, estimated from satellite images, permits and announcements. The data-centre clock comes from here.

    Open the source
  • Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory

    Queued Up: 2026 Edition. Characteristics of Power Plants Seeking Transmission Interconnection as of the End of 2025

    The US Department of Energy national laboratory's report on power-plant interconnection queues, from data on 7 regional market operators and 50 other balancing areas. The power-plant clock comes from here: pages 4 (summary), 43 (request to agreement), 48 (agreement to operation), 51 (request to operation), 54 (by size).

    Open the source