Sources and notes
What is measured and what is drawn. The river, the bank and the insects are drawings. The mayflies over the water are drawn about three times larger than they would look from that distance, so that they can be seen at all; their number on screen is not a count. The radar screen is a drawing too; the real one is below. On the maps, a river is gold if the sources name it as having the insect today, and that says nothing about which stretches.
Numbers from other rivers. The holes per square metre, their width and the density of a flight were measured on the Bulgarian Danube before the insect vanished there. The sinking of the eggs was worked out for a bed 7.5 metres deep. The hours are from one evening on the middle Tisza; other evenings and other stretches differ by an hour or two.
How firm it is. Three years in the bank is what every source says, and it rests on size classes of larvae, not on individuals followed through. The egg count is one author’s (8,000 to 9,000); an older estimate was 7,000. Adult life is given as no more than two hours after mating, and up to 13 hours for males that never mate. The Danube appears on both lists: the last flights on its Bulgarian stretch were seen by 1974, while larvae have been found in its lowest reaches since 2012 and adults in Hungary in 2015.
- Landolt, P., Sartori, M., Elpers, C. & Tomka, I. (1995). “Biological studies of Palingenia longicauda (Olivier) (Ephemeroptera: Palingeniidae) in one of its last European refuges: feeding habits, ethological observations and egg structure.” In Current Directions in Research on Ephemeroptera, 273–281. The burrow, feeding, the moult on the bank, the females’ delay, the “flower”, mating, water temperature.
- Landolt, P., Sartori, M. & Studemann, D. (1997). “Palingenia longicauda (Ephemeroptera, Palingeniidae): from mating to the larvulae stage.” In Ephemeroptera & Plecoptera: Biology–Ecology–Systematics, 15–20. The flight upstream, how the eggs sink, hatching, the first larva.
- Russev, B. K. (1987). “Ecology, life history and distribution of Palingenia longicauda (Olivier) (Ephemeroptera).” Tijdschrift voor Entomologie 130, 109–127. Holes per square metre and their width, larval sizes, eggs per female, adult life, density of a flight, the history of the range.
- Kriska, G., Bernáth, B. & Horváth, G. (2007). “Positive polarotaxis in a mayfly that never leaves the water surface.” Naturwissenschaften 94, 148–154. The hours of one evening on the middle Tisza in 2005.
- Málnás, K. et al. (2011). “Bridges as optical barriers and population disruptors for the mayfly Palingenia longicauda.” Journal of Insect Conservation 15, 823–832. Three years in the bank, three to five evenings, flight heights, adults do not feed.
- Bálint, M. et al. (2012). “Species history masks the effects of human-induced range loss – unexpected genetic diversity in the endangered giant mayfly Palingenia longicauda.” PLoS ONE 7, e31872. Two per cent of the former range.
- Dénes, A.-L. et al. (2021). Preprint on the present distribution and genetics of the species, bioRxiv. Body size; Mureș, Prut and Danube Delta populations. Pavel, A. B. et al. (2019), Geo-Eco-Marina 25: larvae in the lower Danube, 2012–2015. Málnás, K. et al. (2016), Folia Historico-Naturalia Musei Matraensis 40, 21–25: the Hungarian Danube, June 2015. Kovács, T. & Ambrus, A. (2001), Folia Historico-Naturalia Musei Matraensis 25, 145–162: the Rába.
- Stepanian, P. M. et al. (2020). “Declines in an abundant aquatic insect, the burrowing mayfly, across major North American waterways.” PNAS 117, 2987–2992. US National Weather Service, La Crosse: “Tracking Mayflies”.
- The Tisza’s length: International Commission for the Protection of the Danube River, Tisza Basin page (archived copy). The Hungarian protection value: decree 13/2001 (V. 9.) KöM. Rivers and coastlines on the maps: Natural Earth, public domain.