Marius Comper.

Archaeology · the Gumelnița culture on the Lower Danube

Archaeology in Romania: what 406 dates reveal about Gumelnița

A set of 406 radiocarbon dates becomes a probability curve. Change the 10-year bin and site to see what the curve measures about the past.

406 dates · 59 sites · 131 ten-year bins

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IntCal20 · Lower Danube

Where does the curve rise?

Paper estimate4,394 BCEHighest plotted bin: 4,390 BCE

Relative probability of Gumelnița dates and the profile of one site The all-site curve is normalized to its own maximum. The selected site profile is separately normalized to its own maximum; their heights are not directly comparable. 0%25%50%75%100% 5,050 BCE 4,400 BCE 3,750 BCE Time moves forward to the right
Both lines show percentages of their own peak. Blue is the all-site series; rust is the selected site. Axis labels identify the dataset’s 10-year bins, not exact event dates.
All sitesPietrele
Relative probability · all sites100%
Pietrele63%58 dates associated with this site
Open the table of 131 bins
Relative index against each series’ own maximum
10-year binAll sitesPietrele
5,050 BCE0%0%
5,040 BCE1%0%
5,030 BCE1%0%
5,020 BCE1%0%
5,010 BCE1%0%
5,000 BCE2%0%
4,990 BCE2%0%
4,980 BCE2%0%
4,970 BCE3%0%
4,960 BCE3%0%
4,950 BCE4%0%
4,940 BCE4%0%
4,930 BCE5%0%
4,920 BCE6%0%
4,910 BCE7%0%
4,900 BCE8%0%
4,890 BCE9%0%
4,880 BCE9%0%
4,870 BCE10%0%
4,860 BCE11%0%
4,850 BCE12%0%
4,840 BCE13%0%
4,830 BCE15%0%
4,820 BCE16%0%
4,810 BCE17%0%
4,800 BCE18%0%
4,790 BCE18%0%
4,780 BCE19%0%
4,770 BCE20%0%
4,760 BCE20%0%
4,750 BCE20%0%
4,740 BCE20%0%
4,730 BCE21%0%
4,720 BCE22%0%
4,710 BCE23%1%
4,700 BCE25%1%
4,690 BCE27%1%
4,680 BCE29%3%
4,670 BCE31%5%
4,660 BCE32%5%
4,650 BCE33%6%
4,640 BCE32%6%
4,630 BCE33%4%
4,620 BCE36%4%
4,610 BCE38%7%
4,600 BCE42%13%
4,590 BCE46%13%
4,580 BCE47%16%
4,570 BCE49%15%
4,560 BCE54%12%
4,550 BCE60%16%
4,540 BCE66%34%
4,530 BCE73%46%
4,520 BCE80%44%
4,510 BCE84%41%
4,500 BCE87%46%
4,490 BCE90%56%
4,480 BCE92%58%
4,470 BCE96%55%
4,460 BCE97%55%
4,450 BCE96%57%
4,440 BCE97%64%
4,430 BCE99%77%
4,420 BCE98%62%
4,410 BCE99%57%
4,400 BCE100%60%
4,390 BCE100%63%
4,380 BCE98%60%
4,370 BCE94%61%
4,360 BCE89%78%
4,350 BCE83%99%
4,340 BCE75%89%
4,330 BCE68%61%
4,320 BCE62%34%
4,310 BCE60%21%
4,300 BCE60%23%
4,290 BCE61%39%
4,280 BCE62%56%
4,270 BCE62%54%
4,260 BCE59%39%
4,250 BCE51%23%
4,240 BCE43%14%
4,230 BCE34%9%
4,220 BCE29%7%
4,210 BCE27%6%
4,200 BCE29%7%
4,190 BCE30%10%
4,180 BCE31%14%
4,170 BCE29%10%
4,160 BCE26%6%
4,150 BCE23%4%
4,140 BCE22%5%
4,130 BCE22%7%
4,120 BCE24%8%
4,110 BCE26%7%
4,100 BCE27%7%
4,090 BCE27%9%
4,080 BCE27%9%
4,070 BCE26%8%
4,060 BCE22%7%
4,050 BCE17%4%
4,040 BCE13%1%
4,030 BCE11%0%
4,020 BCE9%0%
4,010 BCE9%1%
4,000 BCE9%1%
3,990 BCE8%0%
3,980 BCE7%0%
3,970 BCE6%0%
3,960 BCE5%0%
3,950 BCE4%0%
3,940 BCE3%0%
3,930 BCE2%0%
3,920 BCE2%0%
3,910 BCE1%0%
3,900 BCE1%0%
3,890 BCE1%0%
3,880 BCE2%0%
3,870 BCE2%0%
3,860 BCE2%0%
3,850 BCE2%0%
3,840 BCE3%0%
3,830 BCE3%0%
3,820 BCE2%0%
3,810 BCE2%0%
3,800 BCE2%0%
3,790 BCE1%0%
3,780 BCE1%0%
3,770 BCE0%0%
3,760 BCE0%0%
3,750 BCE0%0%

The supplementary file used here contains 406 dates, 59 sites and 131 bins; the paper also discusses a broader inventory. Calibrated probabilities are summed, normalized and smoothed over 50 years. The paper estimates its peak at 4394 BCE; the highest bin in the file is labelled 4390 BCE. The curve describes the distribution of selected dates, not the number of people or houses.

Anthropomorphic clay figurine with an elongated form and raised arms
The Vidra figurine · an object from the Gumelnița culture, photographed at the Bucharest Municipality Museum. One object cannot establish a ritual or meaning by itself. Neoclassicism Enthusiast / Wikimedia Commons · CC BY-SA 4.0. Image resized for this page.

01 / Beyond the curve

Dates are ranges, not exact days

The series traces changes over several centuries. Each radiocarbon measurement is calibrated as a probability; several years may be plausible for one date. The curve adds those probabilities. A peak does not mean that the most houses were built in one year.

02 / Beyond the curve

What remains in the ground

A chronology curve needs sites and objects to make sense. Gumelnița settlements rose into tells as people built on earlier homes. Pottery, burnt houses, food remains and graves preserve different evidence; one figurine cannot tell us what its maker believed.

03 / Beyond the curve

One era, different clocks

Archaeologists can date a layer, an object or organic material found beside it. A date assigned through pottery is not the same as a radiocarbon measurement. The projects below keep their methods and uncertainties separate, so you can see what supports each date.

04 / Beyond the curve

Traces in the ground and in archives

From Romania to other landscapes, the collection follows ruins, roads, fortifications, objects, inscriptions and restorations. Start with a map of nearby discoveries, or choose a site and see what remains, what was moved and what was lost.

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The collection ranges from prehistoric settlements to inscriptions, fortresses, maps and restorations. Each project carries its sources and evidence type.

Archaeology · 68 projects

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